A Jaguar versus Porsche title fight on all three fronts in drivers, manufacturers and teams has felt, if not quite inevitable, quite likely from even before the first race of the 2025-26 Formula E season had taken place last December. 

Although Nick Cassidy, Oliver Rowland, Nyck de Vries and Lucas di Grassi have each also scored victories, it is Jaguar and Porsche drivers Mitch Evans, Antonio Felix da Costa, Pascal Wehrlein and Jake Dennis (in the Andretti Porsche) that are the double winners - and with Nico Mueller’s Berlin victory for Porsche too it means that Formula E’s two heavyweight manufacturers have taken 62% of the winners’ trophies. 

Of the four non-Jaguar or Porsche winners there looks to be just one just about credible potential last gasp interloper that could ensure a fifth challenger heading to London ExCeL next month. That’s reigning champion Rowland. But it says a lot about the Nissan driver's jagged season that he feels like nothing other than an outsider at the moment. A dangerous one admittedly but an outsider, nonetheless.

Current standings:

1 Wehrlein 141
2 Evans 132
3 Rowland 114
4 Da Costa 111
5 Dennis 109

So, taking it as an Evans vs Wehrlein vs da Costa vs Dennis grapple for the title, who - in a ‘Top Trumps’ style - has the best cards to play heading into the final four races in Tokyo and London? 

The drivers

Pascal Wehrlein – 9/10

Wehrlein has had another very strong season with Porsche. It’s one he has mostly maximised particularly in consideration of the inevitable slings and arrows of Gen3 pack racing. 

His one lap pace has mostly been exceptional and his reading of races - alongside a new engineer for the season in the experienced Robert Sattler - has been diligent and rightly rewarded with strong scores and a championship lead.

While his wins at Jeddah and Shanghai were fully controlled, perhaps it will be Wehrlein’s capacity to improve his points scores by guile that could mean he joins Jean-Eric Vergne as a double champion come mid-August. 

A case study in point was his mugging of Dan Ticktum at the final chicane at Jarama in March, which brought him 15 points instead of 12. That was also a day in which his luck was ridden after Nyck de Vries’ early race assault that left the Porsche 99X Electric’s rear bodywork hanging off precariously.

Wehrlein has very few weaknesses in his armoury. He and Porsche won’t like the tag, but he, with a nine points advantage, is the favourite right now and will be tough to beat.

Mitch Evans  - 9/10

If Evans does not win a title with Jaguar it will feel like an aberration. A weirdly fated anomaly that will be hard to rationalise. 

The last lap of Gen3 for Evans will also be his last for Jaguar before leaving for the new Opel project. It is set to be a momentous occasion, filled with emotion after a decade with the Big Cat. Should that emotion be washed down with champion’s champagne and title platitudes, perhaps a lot of the past heartache will be dulled.

This season, amid a poor start when he ended the first race in the barriers and the second was spoiled by technical issues allied to missing the attack mode loops in Mexico City, Evans didn’t initially look like he would be in the hunt.

At this time, actually probably well before this, in his heart he knew he needed a new challenge, and so perhaps did Jaguar.

But never underestimate or rule out Mitch Evans. Because when he’s down, he isn’t out. In fact, he’s at his most dangerous. It’s like that moment of quiet before the Haka begins. 

Evans has been mostly unhappy with his one lap pace this season and there have been reliability issues too. But, knowing that he is off to pastures new for Gen4 has, to some extent, freed him up driving wise.

That could be supercharged for the final four races and if it acts as an extra spur then Evans could sign off from Jaguar in the perfect manner and lay to rest the ghosts of 2021, 2022 and 2024, when he could have claimed the crown had it not been for technical and strategic wrong turns. 

Antonio Felix da Costa – 8/10

Da Costa scores a slightly lower score on the Top Trumps scale. Not because of his skill or pace, far from it, but simply because of the points deficit and the fact it may just be a season too early for him to become Jaguar’s first ever Formula E champion.

He pleasantly surprised himself and the team with the pace and progress he made in races from the very start of the season. His feeling for the braking performance of the Jaguar Gen3 Evo took some getting used to. But by round four in Jeddah it was fully licked and he took his first win there and then his second a few weeks later at Jarama.

But costly incidents at Berlin (via Mueller) and Monaco (via Ticktum) – both of which majorly pissed him off – mean that he’s on the back foot points wise and perhaps those lost points will be telling.

There was also Sanya, where he should have got a podium but was denied via a controversially harsh penalty for contact with his great friend Norman Nato. Such things are title challenges broken upon. 

Yet, da Costa has always had the feeling of a driver still finding his full way at Jaguar, although it has to be said he is by far a happier soul there than he was at Porsche. That could be a telling fact, but only in time, meaning a second title for da Costa may have to wait until the Gen4 period.

Team and car 

Porsche 9/10

Consistency wise, Porsche has had a short blip across Monaco and Sanya, yet this was mostly self-inflicted by the drivers, Mueller at the former and Wehrlein at the latter.

The bounce back at Shanghai was strong with Wehrlein and Mueller slamming in 47 points, 40 of which came Wehrlein’s way. This was a strong riposte by Porsche - which is hungry to get the hat-trick of titles this season. As well as leading the drivers’ standings with Wehrlein, it’s 50 points clear of Jaguar in the manufacturers’ championship and its works squad is within six points of Jaguar’s teams’ points lead.

Porsche has a strong leadership, technical, sporting and mechanical team. Florian Modlinger leads but James Lindesay – team manager, and an intensely competitive organisational force - propels the team greatly too, as does softly spoken technical project leader, Oliver Champenois.

There was a key engineering change with the aforementioned Saddler took over from Alpine bound Fabrice Roussel as Wehrlein’s engineer at the start of the season. It was seamless.

Porsche has top of the range technical capabilities, as has Jaguar. It juggles the cost cap, as does Jaguar but in a very different way, largely due to the unique set-ups of each of the manufacturers.

The key difference for Porsche this season, as last, is that it has two more cars on the grid than its rival. Cupra Kiro has been a useful addition, particularly for the manufacturers’ title chase, in which Kiro feels to have been much more pliable than Andretti - which is about to switch allegiance to Nissan for next season.

Jaguar TCS Racing – 9/10 

Jaguar has a very tight and organised team, one which has proved time and time again it can come back from adversity. Think of the start of the present season when after round two at Mexico City it had zero points.

From an organisational and practical standpoint, it has two of the most solid and committed racers around – Gary Ekerold (race director) and Garth Harrdine (chief mechanic). You have to get up very early on race day to get one over this pair.

New team boss Ian James appears to have been able to help manage some continuity in how the team is positioned after a tricky time over the last year as his predecessor James Barclay departed, Theo Gouzin started as technical director and da Costa had to be integrated into the team efficiently.

As complete entities there is little to choose between Porsche and Jaguar. Each has very healthy resources and each uses them very well. It’s now all about the tiny competitive increments.

Andretti - 8/10

Andretti has been erratic in Gen3. Occasionally brilliant, often not quite there in challenging Porsche, Jaguar and Nissan over the course of a season. 

It is a leaner team in resource no doubt, yet Dennis and the Andretti top brass will likely feel they should have more to show for their efforts.

This season has brought two wins and two poles, a very decent haul for a customer team, especially one that has a complex relationship with its soon to be ex-supplier Porsche.

Will that play out in a final fitful and fractious finale in London? It could, although it all depends, realistically, on whether Dennis can stay no more than 20 points off Wehrlein heading into his home race next month.

Circuit form 

Jaguar 3/10
Porsche 6/10
Andretti 6/10

Neither Jaguar nor Porsche has won a race in Tokyo, and indeed the best finish there by either is only Wehrlein’s second place last season.

Evans in particular has had two absolute stinkers in the Japanese capital. He slashed into Robin Frijns’ Envision recklessly in 2024 and then had another shunt in 2025 qualifying forcing his team to withdraw him for the race.

Da Costa has fared better, but of course that was with Porsche, with a fighting fourth place in ’24 and a seventh place last May.

Wehrlein has been steady in results at the Big Sight track with a solid fifth in 2024 and a swashbuckling second behind Rowland last season.

So, it has been clear that the Porsche 99X Electric historically works much better at the Big Sight track than the Jaguar. Why that is, is something of a mystery because the Jaguar has fared well on other sinuous tracks such as Sao Paulo, London and Sanya. 

Andretti meanwhile has also had ups and downs in Tokyo, but has generally been quick. Dennis snatched a podium, rudely but justifiably, from da Costa in 2024. Last season he could have grabbed another podium had it not been for a harsh, not to say dubious disqualification, for entering the pitlane when it was closed (but open if you read the timing screen!).

The conclusion has to be that Jaguar has the most to prove this weekend if historical results are anything to go by. Porsche appears to have collected itself after the misery of Monaco and Sanya, while Andretti, now with a bona fide competitive team-mate for Dennis in Felipe Drugovich to possibly cause some chaos, could creep into real contention for an unlikely London ExCeL outsider attempt.